How Does This Work?
Listed below are all the competitive races for the 2018 US House elections. I've pulled FEC data and probability of win from 538's House Forecast. Then sorted by dollars raise per percent win chance. Competitive races are anything where the win percentage is between 15% and 85% probability.
You can see all the races in a Google Sheet that I use to generate the content below.
How Much Should You Donate?
That's up to you and your budget. You may not have donated before or only donated a small amount. But your funds can make an impact in the upcoming election. I know that when the 2016 election was over I wondered if I could have done more. In a big presidential election your dollars are dwarfed by lots and lots of donars but with smaller house races your money can be the tipping point that makes a difference.
Who should I Select?
They're already pre-sorted by effectiveness, I'd start at the top and apply any metric you see fit. My strategy was to pick 7 from the top of the list, and 3 more from house elections in my state.
How to Donate?
Select your preferred candidates below and . Due to federal law your donations will be public and you'll need to provide your phone number and email address. You'll also be added to every mailing and call list possible if you don't take some pre-emptive action:
+midterm2018
to your gmail address. Ex.
example+midterm2018@gmail.com
| District | Democrat | Funds | 538 % | $/% | Republican | Funds | 538 % | $/% | Cook |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | Democrat | Funds | 538 % | $/% | Republican | Funds | 538 % | $/% | Cook |
| KS-3 | Sharice Davids | $345,304 | 55.91% | 6,176.07 | Kevin Yoder | $2,785,787 | 44.09% | 63,184.11 | Toss Up R |
| MN-8 | Joe Radinovich | $333,199 | 49.34% | 6,752.57 | Pete Stauber | $960,478 | 50.64% | 18,965.28 | Toss Up D |
| NC-2 | Linda Coleman | $299,723 | 33.72% | 8,888.59 | George Holding | $1,858,718 | 66.28% | 28,044.26 | Lean R |
| FL-15 | Kristen Carlson | $304,688 | 26.03% | 11,707.07 | Ross Spano | $220,922 | 73.97% | 2,986.48 | Lean R |
| MI-11 | Haley Stevens | $1,037,752 | 71.71% | 14,471.51 | Lena Epstein | $1,648,799 | 28.29% | 58,282.06 | Toss Up R |
| PA-10 | George Scott | $357,528 | 19.78% | 18,073.42 | Scott Perry | $644,268 | 80.22% | 8,031.46 | Lean R |
| IA-3 | Cindy Axne | $1,076,543 | 56.76% | 18,966.57 | David Young | $1,758,963 | 43.24% | 40,680.95 | Toss Up R |
| VA-10 | Jennifer Wexton | $1,934,197 | 81.76% | 23,657.59 | Barbara Comstock | $3,818,909 | 18.24% | 209,347.06 | Lean D |
| NM-2 | Xochitl Torres Small | $934,715 | 39.32% | 23,769.58 | Yvette Herrell | $522,357 | 60.68% | 8,608.96 | Toss Up R |
| NE-2 | Kara Eastman | $783,953 | 31.74% | 24,699.22 | Don Bacon | $1,841,308 | 68.26% | 26,974.92 | Lean R |
| FL-27 | Donna Shalala | $2,079,216 | 82.93% | 25,071.94 | Maria Salazar | $685,786 | 17.07% | 40,179.64 | Toss Up R |
| WA-8 | Kim Schrier | $1,611,072 | 62.23% | 25,888.16 | Dino Rossi | $3,005,150 | 37.77% | 79,568.68 | Toss Up R |
| ME-2 | Jared Golden | $1,179,517 | 44.61% | 26,438.28 | Bruce Poliquin | $3,178,415 | 55.39% | 57,386.61 | Toss Up R |
| MN-1 | Daniel Feehan | $1,132,405 | 42.39% | 26,715.23 | Jim Hagedorn | $847,792 | 57.61% | 14,715.54 | Toss Up D |
| CO-6 | Jason Crow | $2,264,940 | 84.25% | 26,884.20 | Mike Coffman | $2,375,026 | 15.75% | 150,776.13 | Lean D |
| NV-3 | Susie Lee | $2,137,490 | 77.25% | 27,669.05 | Danny Tarkanian | $1,387,930 | 22.75% | 61,013.27 | Lean D |
| CO-3 | Diane Mitsch Bush | $642,978 | 22.75% | 28,257.79 | Scott Tipton | $988,124 | 77.25% | 12,791.91 | Likely R |
| MN-2 | Angie Craig | $2,361,642 | 83.56% | 28,264.18 | Jason Lewis | $1,953,079 | 16.44% | 118,771.50 | Lean D |
| NY-22 | Anthony Brindisi | $1,938,415 | 67.45% | 28,740.25 | Claudia Tenney | $1,963,252 | 32.55% | 60,307.55 | Toss Up R |
| KS-2 | Paul Davis | $1,607,262 | 52.19% | 30,793.99 | Steve Watkins | $640,159 | 47.80% | 13,391.32 | Toss Up R |
| CA-45 | Katie Porter | $2,083,718 | 66.43% | 31,366.17 | Mimi Walters | $2,934,611 | 33.57% | 87,422.87 | Toss Up R |
| VA-5 | Leslie Cockburn | $1,289,473 | 40.96% | 31,479.73 | Denver Riggleman | $217,443 | 59.04% | 3,683.09 | Lean R |
| VA-7 | Abigail Spanberger | $1,351,550 | 42.55% | 31,766.79 | Dave Brat | $1,332,894 | 57.45% | 23,200.94 | Toss Up R |
| NJ-3 | Andy Kim | $2,166,597 | 67.47% | 32,110.10 | Thomas MacArthur | $2,357,697 | 32.52% | 72,504.35 | Toss Up R |
| WV-3 | Richard Ojeda | $514,946 | 15.02% | 34,274.87 | Carol Miller | $818,092 | 84.98% | 9,627.33 | Lean R |
| AK-1 | Alyse Galvin | $601,006 | 16.82% | 35,731.65 | Don Young | $801,348 | 83.18% | 9,633.91 | Likely R |
| CA-25 | Katie Hill | $2,451,457 | 66.30% | 36,974.10 | Steve Knight | $1,703,744 | 33.70% | 50,559.19 | Toss Up R |
| OH-1 | Aftab Pureval | $1,571,517 | 42.23% | 37,215.04 | Steve Chabot | $958,196 | 57.77% | 16,586.40 | Toss Up R |
| GA-7 | Carolyn Bourdeaux | $852,299 | 22.29% | 38,233.42 | Rob Woodall | $724,912 | 77.71% | 9,328.67 | Lean R |
| CA-10 | Josh Harder | $2,550,405 | 65.67% | 38,837.87 | Jeff Denham | $3,466,180 | 34.33% | 100,960.61 | Toss Up R |
| MT-1 | Kathleen Williams | $799,548 | 20.16% | 39,667.98 | Greg Gianforte | $7,057,259 | 79.84% | 88,390.30 | Lean R |
| IL-12 | Brendan Kelly | $1,786,472 | 44.50% | 40,145.45 | Mike Bost | $1,910,253 | 55.50% | 34,420.21 | Toss Up R |
| NJ-7 | Tom Malinowski | $2,315,869 | 57.30% | 40,417.97 | Leonard Lance | $1,540,918 | 42.70% | 36,085.38 | Toss Up R |
| NC-9 | Dan McCready | $2,673,739 | 64.82% | 41,249.95 | Mark Harris | $931,016 | 35.18% | 26,464.34 | Toss Up R |
| VA-2 | Elaine Luria | $1,318,926 | 31.84% | 41,420.94 | Scott W Taylor | $2,741,096 | 68.16% | 40,216.79 | Toss Up R |
| WA-3 | Carolyn Long | $662,065 | 15.65% | 42,309.87 | Jaime Herrera Beutler | $1,518,361 | 84.35% | 18,000.30 | Lean R |
| NC-13 | Kathy Manning | $1,935,361 | 45.59% | 42,447.70 | Ted Budd | $1,219,617 | 54.41% | 22,416.96 | Toss Up R |
| TX-7 | Lizzie Fletcher | $2,321,870 | 48.75% | 47,626.14 | John Culberson | $2,024,361 | 51.25% | 39,501.27 | Toss Up R |
| IL-6 | Sean Casten | $2,038,971 | 42.73% | 47,722.03 | Peter Roskam | $4,429,669 | 57.27% | 77,341.71 | Toss Up R |
| IL-13 | Betsy Dirksen Londrigan | $1,348,944 | 28.20% | 47,831.50 | Rodney Davis | $2,377,520 | 71.80% | 33,114.01 | Lean R |
| NY-19 | Antonio Delgado | $2,752,878 | 57.52% | 47,857.83 | John Faso | $2,314,822 | 42.48% | 54,494.60 | Toss Up R |
| IL-14 | Lauren A Underwood | $1,129,203 | 23.42% | 48,223.56 | Randy Hultgren | $1,437,928 | 76.58% | 18,775.83 | Lean R |
| FL-26 | Debbie Mucarsel-Powell | $1,881,076 | 38.98% | 48,254.99 | Carlos Curbelo | $3,760,014 | 61.02% | 61,621.38 | Lean R |
| CA-48 | Harley Rouda | $3,192,960 | 65.40% | 48,819.03 | Dana Rohrabacher | $1,774,411 | 34.60% | 51,289.49 | Toss Up R |
| TX-23 | Gina Jones | $2,286,965 | 45.39% | 50,382.55 | Will Hurd | $3,057,983 | 54.61% | 55,998.81 | Lean R |
| MI-7 | Gretchen Driskell | $1,358,856 | 26.10% | 52,059.45 | Tim Walberg | $1,564,977 | 73.90% | 21,177.53 | Likely R |
| NJ-11 | Mikie Sherrill | $4,236,126 | 80.08% | 52,896.03 | Jay Webber | $574,410 | 19.92% | 28,841.65 | Lean D |
| MI-8 | Elissa Slotkin | $3,034,437 | 55.71% | 54,464.53 | Mike Bishop | $2,189,717 | 44.29% | 49,444.91 | Toss Up R |
| AR-2 | Clarke Tucker | $975,518 | 17.34% | 56,264.74 | French Hill | $1,954,935 | 82.66% | 23,651.46 | Lean R |
| TX-32 | Colin Allred | $1,916,601 | 31.93% | 60,028.86 | Pete Sessions | $2,750,176 | 68.07% | 40,402.17 | Toss Up R |
| KY-6 | Amy McGrath | $3,024,975 | 47.70% | 63,411.36 | Andy Barr | $3,168,919 | 52.30% | 60,595.82 | Toss Up R |
| OH-14 | Betsy Rader | $1,035,034 | 15.63% | 66,237.94 | David P Joyce | $1,559,510 | 84.37% | 18,483.30 | Likely R |
| FL-25 | Mary Barzee Flores | $1,268,755 | 16.70% | 75,973.35 | Mario Diaz-Balart | $1,769,179 | 83.30% | 21,238.64 | Likely R |
| CA-21 | TJ Cox | $1,326,532 | 16.00% | 82,897.88 | David Valadao | $2,305,340 | 84.00% | 27,445.18 | Likely R |
| UT-4 | Ben McAdams | $1,677,141 | 18.30% | 91,647.04 | Mia Love | $3,309,542 | 81.70% | 40,508.47 | Lean R |
| NY-11 | Max Rose | $1,951,382 | 20.25% | 96,364.57 | Dan Donovan | $1,815,123 | 79.75% | 22,760.73 | Likely R |
| TX-31 | Mary Jennings Hegar | $1,618,359 | 15.67% | 103,303.93 | John Carter | $1,015,417 | 84.33% | 12,040.99 | Lean R |
| FL-6 | Nancy Soderberg | $1,707,297 | 16.41% | 104,014.66 | Michael Waltz | $1,066,996 | 83.59% | 12,765.25 | Likely R |
| WI-6 | Dan Kohl | $1,723,543 | 16.09% | 107,092.29 | Glenn S Grothman | $1,314,788 | 83.91% | 15,669.77 | Likely R |
| WA-5 | Lisa Brown | $2,393,048 | 20.81% | 115,017.19 | Cathy McMorris Rodgers | $3,854,842 | 79.19% | 48,675.94 | Lean R |
| CA-39 | Gil Cisneros | $5,512,130 | 42.51% | 129,654.46 | Young Kim | $1,283,994 | 57.48% | 22,336.55 | Toss Up R |
| PA-1 | Scott Wallace | $5,381,019 | 36.51% | 147,368.64 | Brian Fitzpatrick | $2,338,452 | 63.49% | 36,834.14 | Toss Up R |
| OH-12 | Danny O'Connor | $5,549,167 | 30.89% | 179,654.47 | Troy Balderson | $1,771,407 | 69.11% | 25,632.44 | Lean R |
| WI-1 | Randy Bryce | $6,254,755 | 19.47% | 321,184.90 | Bryan Steil | $750,337 | 80.53% | 9,317.95 | Lean R |